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Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Trump presidency ranking among the top 10 global risks: EIU



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Donald Trump wins the US presidency is regarded as one of the top 10 risks facing the world, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit.

The research firm has warned that it may disrupt the global economy and to strengthen the political and security risks in the United States.

However, he does not expect that Mr. Trump to defeat Hillary Clinton, which he sees as "his most likely challenger democratic".

It is estimated as more risky than the UK leaving the European Union or of an armed conflict in the South China Sea.

China faces a "hard landing" or a sharp slowdown in economic growth and Russia's intervention in Ukraine and Syria, preceding a new "cold war" are among the events considered to be more dangerous.

"Until now, Mr. Trump has given very little information about its policies - and they tend to be prone to constant review," said the EIU in its global risk assessment, which looks at the impact and likelihood.

The EIU ranking uses a scale from one to 25 years, Mr. Trump received a rating of 12, the same risk level as "the growing threat of terrorism jihadist destabilize the world economy."

Global risk rating EIUImage copyrightEIU
Image captionThe Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) estimates the global risk on a scale from one to 25
"He was extremely hostile to free trade, including in particular naphtha, and repeatedly labeled China as a" currency manipulator "," the EIU said.

He warned that his strong language directed towards Mexico and China in particular, "can quickly escalate into a trade war."

Mr. Trump has called for "a great big wall", which will be built on the US-Mexico border, paid for by Mexico to keep its illegal immigrants and drug dealers from the United States.

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